The machine tool industry to increase the downward pressure when dip into focus

In July 24, 25 days, 2015 China machine tool industry association working conference held in Baoji, the meeting by the China Machine Tool Industry Association"s director, Qinchuan Machine Tool Group Co., Ltd. chairman Long Xingyuan presided over the rotating chairman (beginning in July 26th for the Director-General) two Ji"nan Machine Tool Group Co., Ltd. Chairman Zhang Zhigang, director of the presidency long Beijing North machine Limited by Share Ltd chairman Wang Xu, and the chairman and vice chairman of the unit responsible for a total of more than 60 people attended the meeting.

The meeting, executive vice chairman of China machine tool industry association and Secretary General Chen Huiren as "economic operation characteristics and market changes in the industry analysis report, Chen Huiren through detailed statistics on the status of the industry has carried on the analysis judgment, put forward the new changes of concern to the participants, and for the next two years the development of the industry situation the basic estimate.

Machine tool industry this round of downward began in the second half of 2011, has been a full 4 years. What changes have taken place in the industry over the past 4 years, and what are the features of Chen Huiren"s report on the development of the industry in the report made a basic judgment of four.

Industry run four basic judgment

First, the industry is still in the downstream sector, and further increase downward pressure. According to the statistical data China machine tool industry association, regardless of all the industries, or down to the metal cutting machine tool, metal forming machine tool and tools industry, this year 1, the main economic indicators in May industry accumulated value year-on-year decline, the main business income and total profit decline in. The industry"s main business revenue fell 4.3%, profit fell 17.8%, the stock rose 3.5%, orders fell 5.9%, the largest decline in gross profit of metal cutting machine tools, machine tool industry is the only bright spot in new orders year-on-year rise in metal forming.

Chen Huiren pointed out that, in particular, it is obvious that several sub industry changes, some of the strong performance of the sub industry showed a downward trend. For example, a few years ago, a relatively stable tool industry, the first half of this year showed a downward trend; in addition to the performance of the metal forming machine has been the first half of this year has begun to decline.

Second, the total demand for the industry is significantly reduced, the market structure of the significant changes in the demand structure is increasingly obvious. 2011 industry down at the beginning of the development of the industry that is showing a decrease in the total demand, the upgrading of the structure of the demand for the trend, and now look, this feature is more and more obvious. According to the China Machine Tool Industry Association statistics, 2011 - 2014, the total amount of China"s machine tool consumer market has been declining, while the total decline in the demand structure significantly upgraded.

Chen Huiren concluded that the upgrade is mainly reflected in three aspects, namely, automation, customization, shift upgrade. In the case of a user industry import processing center for 4 years, for example, the industry accounted for the following 4 axis machining centers in the proportion of the total number of imported processing centers decreased from 2011 to accounted for more than 51% of the decline in the year of 2014. On the one hand reflects the needs of the industry to upgrade the user, on the other hand also shows that the rapid progress of domestic processing centers, to a certain extent, to achieve an alternative import.

Third, a wide range of industry structure differentiation began to appear. Over the years, the industry has been state-owned, private, foreign three points of the world, but this pattern has been quietly broken. According to the National Bureau of statistics and the composition of customs data, in 2014 the whole industry body, private enterprises the main business income of the industry have accounted for nearly 80%, profits accounted for more than 80%, exports accounted for nearly 60%, the number of private enterprises accounted for 80%. Look again from 2011 to 2014 data changes, or whether the entire industry, metal processing tools, sub sectors, state-owned enterprises the main business income, total profits of enterprises and the number of both showed a sharp downward trend, foreign companies are on the decline, but the magnitude is smaller, a weak index rose over the same period. Private enterprises in both the main business income, total profits, or the number of enterprises showing a significant upward trend.

Data show that the private economy has been the absolute body of the machine tool industry, state-owned and foreign capital are the length of each. Visible in the economic downturn in the environment, is not conducive to the development of the state-owned system. Chen Huiren concluded, in 4 years, the biggest impact is two groups, one is long dominated the market of large enterprises, one is in the Small and micro businesses, industry the most low-end value chain at the same time, some private enterprises bucked the trend, showing strong growth in strength, this kind of change is structural.

In addition, the structure of the industry is multifaceted. According to the China Machine Tool Industry Association 2011 - 2014 annuity plus the main components of the machine changes in the statistical data, in 2012, the production of gold and cut production and growth rate began to differentiate significantly, forming significantly better than gold. In addition, compared to gold in 2014 and 2011 the main indicators of cutting machine, regardless of the main business income and the gross profit is greatly decreased, and the forming machine of main business revenue decline is very small, the total profit decline is far less than the metal cutting machine tools.

Fourth, positive changes in the process of industry restructuring and adjustment. A direct performance is the industry greatly improved the rate of NC, in 2011 China"s CNC machine tool production rate is 64.2%, in 2014 reached 75.3%. In addition, there are significant changes in market structure. 2011 exports accounted for 8.5% of the overall market, in 2014 the proportion rose to $13.9%. In addition to this positive change in the industrial structure, Chen Huiren stressed that industry enterprises